Dr. ASLI VAROL
Protecting the United States and Americans; advancing democracy, human rights, and other global interests; promoting international understanding of American values and policies; and supporting U.S. diplomats, government officials, and all other personnel at home and abroad who make these goals a reality are the four main foreign policy goals of the U.S. Department of State (Bureau of Public Affairs, 2008). The U.S. seeks for ways to make more use of big data in diplomacy in order to be able to claim these goals more strongly. In the context of the meaning that the US attaches to data in foreign policy, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources Brian P. McKeon emphasizes that (U.S. Department of State, 2021: 4):
“To lead
America’s foreign policy in the 21st century, we must be fully prepared for the
challenges, both seen and unseen, that lie before us. As the leader of our
country’s response to these challenges, the Department of State must leverage
data as a critical instrument of diplomacy. When our foreign affairs
professionals are equipped with high-quality and timely data, we can help make
the world safer, more just, and less divided.”
“Data is the new oil”
In
2006, British mathematician Clive Humby summed up the importance of data and
its benefits in the new economy by saying “Data is the new oil”. Today, data is seen as
a critical resource of modern society. Huge
amounts of data are generated every day through electronic devices and the
Internet. The private sector benefits
from the big data sources to improve their products and services, streamline
procedures, and ultimately increase revenues. Because it is said that big data analytics create insights that didn't
exist before. On the other hand, some
foreign ministries and international organizations are exploring the uses of
big data for policy planning, information management, development, humanitarian
aid and emergency response. These
institutions have realized the benefits of big data analysis (Jacobson,
Höne, Kurbalija, 2018: 4).
Information is at the center of international
relations. International alliances are formed or broken down by
the information available and who controls it. The data has brought more light and transparency to the work of
diplomats, which is characterized by an unprecedented level of confidentiality
and privacy in the conduct of diplomacy. Ndoumbe
states that due to the democratization of diplomacy, many public diplomacy
researchers argue that diplomats should switch from one-way communication to a
two-way communication model in order to be more effective. This view was first adopted by the US government and
later it was seen that African governments also joined this path (Ndoumbe, 2022).
Being data-driven means that decision-making relies on the collection and analysis of data. In this context, transforming an existing organization into a data-driven one is often motivated by a desire to make better decisions, such as improving the quality of a service or product and improving internal workflows that lead to greater success of the organization. The focus on specific data types and big data is determined by the type of organization and its ultimate goals (Jacobson, Höne, Kurbalija, 2018: 42).
Data Science and American Foreign Policy
Jeffrey Stanton
makes the following statement about data science in his 2013 book titled “An
Introduction to Data Science” (Stanton, 2013: ii):
“Data Science refers to an emerging area of
work concerned with the collection, preparation, analysis, visualization,
management, and preservation of large collections of information. Although the
name Data Science seems to connect most strongly with areas such as databases and computer science, many
different kinds of skills - including non-mathematical skills - are needed.”
According to Jacobson, Höne and Kurbalija, big data based on previously unavailable sources can challenge prejudices, validate information and provide new insights for diplomacy. Big data can lead to a better-informed foreign policy that is free from the assumptions of individual decision makers and contains the vast amount of information available from online sources, texts and sensors (Jacobson, Höne, Kurbalija, 2018: 65).
The U.S. Department of State is also integrating big data analysis into foreign policy and tries to strengthen data informed diplomacy. In this context, in September 2021, the U.S. Department of State has published a strategy document titled “Enterprise Data Strategy Empowering Data Informed Diplomacy”. This initiative is described by the Department as a milestone in its transformation into a more data-centric organization. “Enterprise Data Strategy” aims ensure that the Department’s workforce is equipped with the timely, data-driven insights needed to make key mission and management decisions (U.S. Department of State, 2021).
Tsvetkova and
Kuznetsov state that authoritative scholars and experts from the United States
have a common stance on the definition of data diplomacy. Data diplomacy is seen as a new stage in the
development of digital diplomacy. Data diplomacy;
incorporating elements of data science, social sciences and international
relations, it provides new opportunities for governments to achieve results in
domestic and foreign policy, diplomatic and consular services, cybersecurity
and technological progress through the results of big data analysis of social
networks and other Internet resources. However, data
diplomacy can both bring states together to solve common humanitarian problems
and divide them with discrediting and destructive activities on the Internet. Experts say that the main method of data diplomacy is the
collection and analysis of “big” and “small” data from social networks, blogs
and other Web resources.
Accordingly, the main
functions of data diplomacy are increasing the effectiveness of digital
diplomacy projects; using data for information confrontation on the Internet;
humanitarian cooperation; simplification of diplomatic and consular service (Tsvetkova & Kuznetsov, 2020: 40-41).
American experts
express the following about foreign policy threats to U.S. cybersecurity due to
the development of data diplomacy and the use of collecting and analyzing big
data from social networks (Tsvetkova
& Kuznetsov, 2020: 41):
1) China is
emerging as a world leader in AI, contributing to the creation of new
technologies to enhance its military potential.
2) There are
subversive activities such as information attacks from Russia, China, Iran and
terrorist groups.
3) Lack of
international laws on the legitimacy of information operations and codes of
conduct in cyberspace.
However,
American experts point out the following among the problems related to the
development of artificial intelligence and data diplomacy (Tsvetkova & Kuznetsov, 2020: 41):
1) The inability
of diplomats to work with big data.
2) Humanitarian
students need vocational training in the fundamentals of working with big data
analytics.
3) Young professionals are uninterested in the analysis
of US foreign policy activity.
Tsvetkova and Kuznetsov emphasize that although serious problems are expressed in the field of cybersecurity, the American expert community positively evaluates the development of an aspect such as big data diplomacy. Because it is accepted that data diplomacy is beneficial for the development of both U.S. foreign policy and the entire international relations system (Tsvetkova & Kuznetsov, 2020: 41).
Data Diplomacy
Data
diplomacy is defined as a new international relations phenomenon that reflects
the importance of digital data in the foreign policy mechanism of modern states
(Kuznetsov & Tsvetkova, 2022: 37). At the “American Association for the
Advancement of Science Conference” in 2015, Timothy Dye defined data diplomacy
as (American Association for
the Advancement of Science, 2015):
“Data diplomacy is an emerging construct that integrates concepts from data science, technology, and computing with social science, international relations, and diplomatic negotiation, and in some cases, offers a new diplomatic tool that facilitates global (and local) relationships.”
Marcotte states
that data diplomacy aims to better understand the role that data sharing plays
as a mediator in social and political relations around the world (Marcotte,
2016). Jacobson, Höne, Kurbalija state that big data interacts with diplomacy
in three ways. First, big data can be used as a tool to make
diplomacy more efficient, effective and inclusive. Second,
it provides a new topic on the diplomatic agenda and takes part in
international negotiations in areas such as cross-border privacy, e-commerce
and international cybersecurity. Third, it acts
as a factor that changes the environment in which diplomacy operates,
potentially changing geopolitical and geo-economic positions (Jacobson, Höne,
Kurbalija, 2018: 4).
Big data has the potential to contribute to insights and make certain processes more effective and efficient in information gathering and diplomatic reporting, negotiation, communication, and public diplomacy and consular affairs, which are the core functions of diplomacy. However, the relevance of big data in this field largely depends on the extent to which these processes are driven by human qualities such as interpersonal relationships, empathy, experience and expert knowledge (Jacobson, Höne, Kurbalija, 2018: 37).
Boyd et al. emphasize that when thinking about data, it is necessary to accept that it is its creators, subjects, managers and owners. Data may be public or private, may be copied and modified, shared or not shared, used or not. On the other hand, the use of data can lead to benefits or harms, advantages or disadvantages and can have an impact at the individual, institutional, governmental or global level. In other words, data can be a tool that accelerates, directs, or otherwise blocks change. It follows, therefore, that the concept of data diplomacy will relate to a wide range of interactions between data and diplomats, as well as diplomatic principles, practices, and objectives. As we develop measures to secure and protect the public, the need for a new class of data diplomats who can streamline data-driven processes will also increase. However, recognizing that data diplomacy is a separate category will enable us to recognize its expanding role in society and the potential good or bad it can bring (Boyd et al., 2019).
Data diplomacy is an interdisciplinary field that
addresses the role of diplomacy and negotiation in accessing and sharing
information, and the impact of knowledge on discretionary links between nation
states and other international actors (intergovernmental organizations, NGOs,
public figures, etc.). In recent years, data has gained importance in the
conduct and implementation of global diplomacy, and over time it is on the
agenda, among other key issues such as peace and security, development, climate
change. For this reason, data is now considered an important tool used in
consular affairs, soft power and public diplomacy, and strategic alliance
building. Data diplomacy initiatives are positively described by practitioners.
Thus, data diplomacy is needed to address social and global challenges more
directly. The fact that data brings with it many opportunities
has made it possible to define data as the new oil of the modern economy. Data is a collection of processed information. Data is
the raw material, and diplomats are the processors of this material, which
turns it into a finished “product” useful for strategic decision making and
foreign policy choices. In their daily work, they collect, analyze and transmit
data and information (Ndoumbe, 2022).
“Data” is a Strategic Asset for the U.S. Department of State
The U.S.
Department of State states that it is aware of the fact that the pace of
American diplomacy has to keep up with the ever-changing geopolitical pace, and
expresses the importance of using data to achieve foreign policy goals as
follows (U.S. Department of State, 2021: 5):
“We have the most advanced diplomatic corps in the world, and it is imperative that we match the excellence of our global workforce with excellence in our data-driven insights. Advanced analysis must act in support of diplomacy, putting evidence-based insights at our professionals' fingertips to help them achieve their mission. Likewise, to streamline the delivery of our operations, we must use data to provide enabling services more nimbly and expeditiously.”
The Department of State declares its Data Vision in “Enterprise Data Strategy Empowering Data Informed Diplomacy” as (U.S. Department of State, 2022: 10):
“Data is a critical
instrument of diplomacy, the Department’s global workforce is empowered with
the skills and tools to derive actionable mission insights from data, and its
data assets are securely shared and effectively managed.”
Due to the
increasing pace of technological innovation, the U.S. sees data as a vital
ingredient for diplomacy. An evolving global landscape, the need for data-driven
insights, and the accelerated pace of technological innovation require an
institutional approach to modernizing the way the U.S. Department of State uses
data as a strategic asset. This Enterprise
Data Strategy therefore takes a Department-wide approach to adapt to these
factors over the next three years. The U.S.
Department of State states that the establishment of the corporate strategy on
data and the resulting initiatives will change the way the Department
collectively manages and implements data in all its mandates. The Strategy is based on a Vision that provides
strategic consistency and alignment for the Department’s efforts to develop
data maturity and capabilities, and Goals that serve to achieve that Vision. This strategy requires the close collaboration of
bureaus and offices across the Department to develop a holistic approach to
building a foundation of data capabilities and assets. This
initial data strategy, created by the Department to harness the full potential
of data, is considered a critical step towards developing the U.S. State
Department's ability to use data to inform diplomacy while maintaining the
highest level of scientific and data integrity. The
evolving global landscapes, the demand for data-driven insights, and
technological innovation have created the need for data informed diplomacy
(U.S. Department of State, 2021).
The U.S.
Department of State has identified the following four goals to help move toward
the Department's vision to improve data capabilities over the next three years (U.S.
Department of State, 2021: 11):
“Goal 1: Cultivate a Data Culture
Goal 2: Accelerate Decisions through Analytics
Goal 3: Establish Mission-Driven Data Management
Goal 4: Enhance Enterprise Data Governance”
The U.S. Department of State announced that the first
Enterprise Data Strategy implementation continued with two separate data
campaigns. These data campaigns focus on a mission and
management themed priority every six months. The steering theme of the first campaign is diversity, equality,
inclusion and accessibility (DEIA). The DEIA campaign team created a new DEIA
data policy to accelerate decision-making and increase data transparency while
protecting privacy. Working with the
Secretariat's Office of Diversity and Inclusion, they developed an interactive
Demographic Baseline Report and dashboard that will be updated annually.
The department will use this demographic
baseline to help benchmark progress, identify potential barriers to equal
opportunity, inform policy responses, and promote accountability for recruiting
and retaining a diverse workforce. Mission-themed
priority includes Strategic Competition with the People’s Republic of China
(PRC). The Strategic Competitiveness
campaign focused on using data to understand the nature and scope of the
People’s Republic of China's global activities to better inform the Department’s
strategic planning and foreign aid. To
support this effort, the team developed a new suite of analytical tools,
leveraged data to inform foreign aid project selection processes, and added
dozens of relevant datasets to the Department’s data catalog, making them
accessible to Department stakeholders and interagency. The initiative has packaged data into digestible,
data-rich yet easy-to-use formats for busy policymakers. The management theme
of the second campaign is cybersecurity. The cybersecurity data campaign will help the Department make extensive
use of cyber data as a strategic asset to better manage cyber risk, drive
analytics, increase compliance and improve security posture. The mission-themed priority is multilateralism.
The multilateralism data campaign will use data to strengthen alignment with
other countries on common priorities and expand coalitions to achieve U.S.
interests (U.S. Department of State, 2022).
Conclusion and Recommendations
The U.S.
Department of State has embarked on the path of transforming into a
data-centric organization to protect the country's interests, advance its
foreign policy, ensure security, and improve relations with its allies through
data informed diplomacy. It has become a necessity today to benefit from data
in policy making, decision making and negotiation processes in foreign
relations.
Every
government agency that aims to transform into a data-centric organization
should first equip its internal target audience in this regard. Data diplomacy
requires teamwork of data analytics experts, information and communication
technology experts, and diplomats. Therefore, first of all, diplomats should be
informed about how to work with and benefit from data. It is clear that quality
data collection and data reporting in line with the corporate strategy will
provide a significant advantage in foreign policy. For diplomats, having the
ability to work with data in the digital age is of great importance to protect
the country’s interests and prevent conflicts.
References
American Association for the Advancement of Science (2015): “Summary of Science Diplomacy 2015: Scientific Drivers for Diplomacy”, April 29, 2015, diplomacy.aaas.org.
Boyd, Andy, Jane Gatewood, Stuart Thorson, Timothy D. V. Dye (2019): “Data Diplomacy”, Science & Diplomacy, Vol. 8, No. 1 (May 2019), http://sciencediplomacy.org/article/2019/data-diplomacy.
Bureau of Public Affairs (2008): “Diplomacy: The U.S. Department of State at Work”, U.S. Department of State, June 2008, https://2009-2017.state.gov/r/pa/ei/rls/dos/107330.htm, Accessed: 06. 10. 2022.
Jacobson, Barbara Rosen, Katharina E Höne, Jovan Kurbalija (2018): Data Diplomacy: Updating diplomacy to the big data era, DiploFoundation, February 2018, https://www.diplomacy.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Data_Diplomacy_Report_2018.pdf, Accessed: 27. 09. 2022.
Kuznetsov, Nikita M., Natal’ya A. Tsvetkova,(2022): “Russian data diplomacy: Goals, trends, perspectives”, RSUH/RGGU Bulletin Series, Political Science, History, International Relations, no. 1, 26-40, DOI: 10.28995/2073-6339-2022-1-26-40.
Marcotte,
Bob (2016): “‘Big Data’ generates need
for ‘Data Diplomacy’”, University of Rochester, News Center,
January 28, 2016, https://www.rochester.edu/newscenter/big-datageneratesneed-for-data-diplomacy/, Accessed: 05. 10. 2022.
Ndoumbe,Keira (2022): Data Diplomacy: Examining Data’s Impact As A Tool For Diplomatic Activities, Nkafu Policy Institute, February 2022, 1-4.
Stanton, Jeffrey (2013): An Introduction to Data
Science Version 3 [Online], With
a Contribution By Robert W. De Graaf,
Syracuse University, Google Books, Available at: https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B6iefdnF22XQeVZDSkxjZ0Z5VUE/edit, Accessed: 06. 10. 2022.
Tsvetkova, Natal’ya, Nikita M. Kuznetsov (2020): “Phenomenon of Big Data Diplomacy in World Politics”, RSUH/RGGU Bulletin Series, Political Science. History, International Relations, no. 4, 27-44, DOI: 10.28995/2073-6339-2020-4-27-44.
U.S. Department of State (2021): “Enterprise Data
Strategy: Empowering Data Informed Diplomacy”, September 2021, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Reference-EDS-Accessible.pdf, Accessed: 27. 09. 2022.
U.S. Department
of State (2022): “Implementation of Enterprise Data Strategy Takes a
Mission-Driven Approach”, July 13, 2022,
https://www.state.gov/implementation-of-enterprise-data-strategy-takes-a-mission-driven-approach/, Accessed: 27. 09. 2022.
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